Is Card Counting Still Possible in 2025? A Full Breakdown
Learn whether card counting still works in 2025—and what casinos do to stop skilled blackjack players.

For decades, card counting was the ultimate advantage-play technique—used by professional blackjack teams to beat casinos worldwide. But with modern surveillance, multi-deck shoes, and automatic shufflers, many players now wonder:
The short answer:
Yes, but it’s harder, riskier, and far less profitable than it used to be.
This full breakdown explains how card counting works today, what casinos do to stop it, and whether it’s worth trying in the first place.
Card counting is a strategy that tracks high and low cards left in the deck.
The more high cards remaining (10s, J, Q, K, A), the better the odds for the player.
Professional counters use systems like:
At its foundation, card counting remains mathematically sound.
But the environment has changed dramatically.
Many casinos now use CSMs that shuffle cards after each round.
These machines completely kill traditional card counting.
Single-deck blackjack is nearly extinct.
Most casinos use 6–8 deck shoes.
The more decks in play:
Modern casinos mathematically dilute card counting advantages.
Deck penetration = how deep into the shoe the dealer goes before reshuffling.
In the past:
75–85% penetration
Today:
50–65% in many casinos
Less penetration = less statistical reliability.
Casinos now combine digital tools with human surveillance:
You don’t need to be caught counting—only suspected.
If a player raises bets dramatically with a positive count, casinos react with:
You may get backed off even if you're not counting—just playing well.
Yes—but only in the right conditions, with skill and discipline.
✔ The casino does not use a CSM
✔ Deck penetration is at least 70%
✔ You keep spreads subtle
✔ You use camouflage techniques
✔ You avoid drawing attention
✔ The pit crew is focused on other tables
✔ The casino is low-stakes or regional
The strategy still works mathematically.
What’s changed is execution.
Huge bet jumps scream “card counter.”
Most 2025 pros use:
Errors destroy your edge.
Card counters must play flawlessly.
Counters must hide:
Modern surveillance notices everything.
Professional players use “cover plays,” such as:
The goal is to blend in—not to look like a machine.
The “spotter + big player” method can still beat casinos.
But facial recognition makes team play far harder than in the MIT era.
For the average player: No.
For dedicated advantage players: Sometimes.
You can win—but it's truly a grind.
Impossible. The deck is reshuffled every hand.
Rarely possible—unless:
Most online platforms now block counting by shuffling too early.
If you want better blackjack results in 2025, consider:
These techniques often yield better ROI with less risk.
Card counting is still mathematically valid in 2025.
But casinos have made the environment far more hostile.
If you want to try it, focus on casinos with:
✔ No CSMs
✔ Good deck penetration
✔ Low surveillance intensity
✔ Reasonable rules
✔ Fair blackjack payouts (avoid 6:5 games!)
For most players, mastering basic strategy and finding casinos with good odds offers far more value than trying to beat the house with old-school card counting.
Explore our recommended fair blackjack casinos with top rules and transparent gameplay.
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